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Russian shadow war is escalating. NATO railways and sea cables are in the crosshairs.

Military supply chains face vulnerability to covert attacks.

2 min readUpdated:00:42 CET
2 sources
Russian shadow war is escalating. NATO railways and sea cables are in the crosshairs.

European Intelligence Agencies Report Russia Preparing Drone Supply to Iran as Shadow War Escalates

European intelligence agencies assess that Russia is in the final stages of preparing to supply explosive-laden drones to Iran, according to a report from The Guardian. The same agencies report that Russia has already been providing intelligence sharing with Tehran to assist in targeting U.S. forces in the region. This potential delivery would represent the first evidence of lethal support from Russia to Iran since the start of the ongoing conflict.

Intelligence Assessment on Drone Transfers

The intelligence assessment, reported on March 27, 2026, states that Russia is preparing to supply drones to Iran. The upcoming delivery of explosive-laden drones would mark the first evidence of lethal support since the start of the war. This activity is part of what European security sources describe as an escalating Russian shadow war.

Vulnerability of NATO Infrastructure

Concurrently, NATO military infrastructure is reported to be under heightened threat. Military supply chain hubs, including NATO railways and sea cables, are identified as being in the crosshairs of this shadow campaign. These hubs are assessed as especially vulnerable to deniable attacks, which complicate attribution and response.

Ongoing Intelligence Cooperation

Beyond material support, the intelligence reveals ongoing cooperation between Moscow and Tehran. Russia has been providing intelligence sharing with Tehran to help it target U.S. forces in the region. This collaboration indicates a deepening partnership aimed at challenging U.S. and allied interests through asymmetric means.

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